BATON ROUGE – As of a day ago, it’s exactly 20 weeks until LSU’s 2024 football season opener on Sept. 1 vs. USC in Las Vegas.
It’s one of the most highly anticipated matchups in recent years.
Not the game. The pregame.
It’s at least 20,000 hard-partying LSU fans with an endless alcohol intake who have always made their road trip quest to drink cities dry vs. Sin City, maybe the only place on this planet that won’t run out of booze for what might be at least a four-day Geaux Tigahs bender.
Supposedly, as they say, what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas. But Tiger Nation doesn’t need a fifth straight opening game loss hangover on the heels of four forgettable flubs right out of the gate.
The 44-34 home loss to 16½-point underdog Mississippi State in 2020. The 38-27 loss to 2½-point underdog UCLA in the Rose Bowl in 2021 in which LSU never led in the game’s final 42 minutes. The 24-23 2022 loss to 4½-point underdog Florida State in the Superdome, with the Tigers getting a game-tying extra point blocked with no time remaining in Brian Kelly’s LSU head coach debut.
And finally, the 45-24 rematch loss in last season’s opener in Orlando to the 1½-point underdog Seminoles, who outscored Tigers 31-7 in the second half. FSU rolled for 494 yards, including 359 passing and 4 TD throws against a pass defense that struggled all season and contributed heavily to LSU finishing 105th in total defense allowing 416.6 yards per game.
All that said and realizing it was just a spring game played Saturday in Tiger Stadium, it still wasn’t a good look for new defensive coordinator Blake Baker’s starting defense to open the day by allowing LSU’s starting offense to score on three straight possessions of 4 plays/75 yards, 3 plays/76 yards and 2 plays/75 yards.
Kelly said Baker ran a “vanilla defense, maybe two different coverages” to not reveal anything to USC. Yet, it also appeared the LSU offense of co-coordinators Joe Sloan and Cortez Hankton stuck to the basics yet executed swiftly and efficiently.
QB Garrett Nussmeier, buying enough time vs. the first-team defense who sacked him once all day, stepped through a sizeable in the middle of the alleged defensive line and fired a 45-yard scoring strike to wide-open Mississippi State transfer Zavion Thomas for the first TD.
“We’re (supposed to be playing) cover three (three deep defenders) and we’re playing cover two (two safeties deep),” Kelly said. “We can’t let the ball go over our heads. You can’t make those kinds of mistakes. They’re unacceptable, and that’s going to cost you a chance to be on the field.”
Translation: Maybe so. But who else are you putting in the lineup? The same guys repeating mistakes? One of LSU’s starting corners is a true freshman weighing 160 pounds. He will be constantly targeted unless he’s the second coming of the Honey Badger (legendary ball-stealing former LSU All-American Tyrann Mathieu).
Sophomore running back Kaleb Jackson scored the second TD on a 32-yard on a straight line between right guard and right tackle in a space vacated by inside linebacker Harold Perkins Jr., who took two steps to his right and was blocked out of the play by tight end Mason Taylor.
“I thought Harold Perkins did a really nice job working in the (tackle) box,” Kelly said. “We were purposeful running the ball at him and making him defend.”
Translation: LSU needs to know before the USC game and not during it whether Perkins’ second season-opening shot in as many years playing as an undersized linebacker in the tackle box will work.
On LSU’s third TD from its starting defense, Nussmeier rared back and lofted a 59-yard TD to Kyren Lacy, who simply ran past returning starting cornerback Ashton Stamps 10 yards into the route.
“We’re in a coverage that we’re supposed to be in and we just got flat-out beat,” Kelly said. “Sometimes, you just got to take a hard look at who we have and what kind of situations do we put a man against an elite receiver. We weren’t game-planning against that defense today. If we got in that kind of situation (during the season), we may have to gameplan and help out a corner in that situation.”
Translation: The Tigers need better cover corners to survive on 1-on-1 islands.
On a positive note, Kelly has adapted offensively to the talent LSU has had on hand since he arrived. In his first two seasons, he developed an offense around a dual-threat QB that became a Heisman Trophy winner and a pair of NFL first-round draft-choice receivers.
But Kelly has also been building toward an offense that has always been at the heart of his philosophy of a power run game mixed with timely passing, especially throws to fast, physical tight ends.
The difference for him at LSU is he’s able to recruit more talented wide receivers than he previously had in his 12 seasons coaching Notre Dame.
“Within this offense, it’s not going to be Jayden Daniels, Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas,” Kelly said. “What we’ve been striving for is controlling the line of scrimmage running the football and that will set up the explosiveness.
“It’s going to have a different look, but you can still be explosive. It starts at the line of scrimmage. And if you can’t win the line of scrimmage with this offense, you will not be explosive.”
Kelly’s high school recruiting in his first three classes has leaned toward 4 and 5-star offensive linemen and tight ends while his transfer portal acquisitions mostly (and unsuccessfully) favored defensive backs. He feels new assistants Bo Davis (defensive line) and Corey Raymond (defensive backs) are well on their way to recruiting talent to correct the deficiencies keeping LSU from being an annual College Football Playoff contender.
“The long approach to this is who’s on campus and who we’re recruiting,” Kelly said. “I’ve had a lot of players (prospective recruits) in front of me over the past three months since we’ve hired these two (Davis and Raymond) that I hadn’t seen in a couple of years. We’re going to get the guys we need at those positions.”
LSU’s recruiting Class of 2025 commitments is ranked No. 1 nationally with commitment from the nation’s highest-rated high school quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and offensive lineman.
For immediate help, Kelly will tap into the transfer portal for a defensive tackle or two. He’s had some success in that area, getting Mehki Wingo from Missouri in 2022 and Jordan Jefferson from Virginia in 2023. Both have entered the NFL draft.
In Kelly’s last two head coaching jobs at Cincinnati and Notre Dame, his programs took third-year leaps.
He was 22-6 at Cincy in 2007 and 2008 before his final team in 2009 went 12-0 and finished fourth nationally. He was 16-10 in 2010 and 2011 at Notre Dame, leading to his 12-1 2012 team that lost in the BCS national championship game to Alabama.
Kelly isn’t calling a national title shot in his third season in Tigertown. But he knows he signed up to consistently compete for national championships when he came to LSU.
Whatever the Tigers lack, Kelly doesn’t hesitate to do what it takes to fix it. In his first two seasons, he’s fired five defensive assistants including a coordinator, and jettisoned two special team coaches.
He has a confident, unwavering plan, something that hasn’t been present from an LSU head coach since Nick Saban bolted for the Miami Dolphins a year after the Tigers won the 2003 national title.
Kelly knows there’s a process to get to the top, but he wants to win ASAP. At age 62 and starting his 35th year as a college head coach, he’s aware Father Time is always holding the career stopwatch.
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